Functional-Composite
0x8411fc34039ba50f716e006db52f0c5bd005c309
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.0K
Realised
$-5.1K
Win rate
9%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 19?
14985 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?
2778 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 23?
1805 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.46
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 1?
1270 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 26?
1000 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 27?
925 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-244.39
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 10?
890 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.89
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?
874 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.97
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 14?
872 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.23
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 13?
780 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 16?$1.28Jul 15, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$1.27Jul 15, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 14?$1.85Jul 13, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 15?$1.07Jul 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$1.97Jul 13, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 14?$2.03Jul 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 14?$1.71Jul 13, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?$1.76Jun 11, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12?$4.27Jun 11, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?$2.95Jun 11, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?$15.51Jun 11, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?$8.31Jun 11, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?$4.07Jun 11, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12?$10.70Jun 11, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?$5.09Jun 11, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?$2.39Jun 11, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11?$1.72Jun 11, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?$10.39Jun 11, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?$2.08Jun 11, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?$2.08Jun 11, 00:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 64 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
64 closed markets, 9% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 09:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 16:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.