Scientific-Hospitalization
0x8413fea6f126e6181c45a77600692dfe2e014db3
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$35.64
Total PnL
$-44.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?
36 shares @ 91.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$35.64
$3.10
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
52 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
13 shares @ 63.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$14.29Jan 14, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by January 15?$32.54Jan 14, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?$10.00Nov 18, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$42.54Nov 18, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$16.09Nov 18, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$10.00Nov 18, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$10.00Nov 18, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal before July?$2.53Nov 18, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?$9.18Nov 18, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?$1.56Jul 6, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$7.00Jun 22, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$10.00Jun 22, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$10.00Jun 22, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before July?$0.00Jun 22, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before July?$24.21Jun 22, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$5.00Jun 16, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$6.04Jun 16, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$8.00Jun 16, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Pacers$7.35Jun 14, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIran strike on Israel by Friday?$3.43Jun 13, 18:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $8.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 10:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 23:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.