Wallet digest

active

Activity score

43/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-30.00

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

YES
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?
140 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
YES
Trump x Xi talk before June?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025
$0.00
$-20.00
YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00

Recent activity

REDEEMWill Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?$0.00May 22, 08:06 UTC
REDEEMWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$102.04May 19, 06:11 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?$26.25May 16, 12:05 UTC
TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more? $5.00May 16, 11:52 UTC
TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$5.00May 16, 11:51 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$50.00May 16, 11:47 UTC
TRADEBUYTrump x Xi talk before June?$20.00May 16, 11:46 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity19 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk51 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 5
Avg trade size: $21.25
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: May 16, 11:46 UTC
Last active: May 22, 08:06 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 17:02:50 UTC·src:Polymarket Data