United-Scrim
0x8414977afc9f704ff4fc12f975c1d8ca33a53d65
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 58% and 60%?
121 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$120.88
$10.88
- NO
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 54% and 56%?
121 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$120.88
$10.88
- NO
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in January?
121 shares @ 91.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$120.75
$10.75
- NO
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be 60% or higher?
118 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$118.28
$8.28
- NO
Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in January?
118 shares @ 93.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$117.90
$7.90
- NO
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 56%?
115 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$114.57
$4.57
- NO
Will the US lose jobs in January?
114 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$114.09
$4.09
- NO
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%?
114 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$113.87
$3.87
- NO
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?
113 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$112.82
$2.82
- NO
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by January 31, 2026?
103 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$103.34
$3.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$113.25Feb 10, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 34°F or higher on February 5?$113.40Feb 10, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?$113.40Feb 10, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?$114.73Feb 10, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?$115.21Feb 10, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?$116.73Feb 10, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 6, 2026?$120.98Feb 10, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?$110.00Feb 6, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%?$110.00Feb 6, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 56%?$110.00Feb 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be 60% or higher?$110.00Feb 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?$110.00Feb 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 58% and 60%?$110.00Feb 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 54% and 56%?$110.00Feb 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$110.00Feb 6, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 6, 2026?$110.00Feb 6, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?$102.95Feb 6, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?$112.96Feb 6, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?$115.79Feb 6, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?$122.85Feb 6, 04:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $110.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 01:42 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 07:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".