0x8416c6a7f6533e133ec9b44192bce4ccdd65b34a
0x8416c6a7f6533e133ec9b44192bce4ccdd65b34a
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$106.46
Total PnL
$1.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Airbnb (ABNB) close at $135-$140 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
10 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$10.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
9 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$8.85
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
9 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$8.63
$0.13
- NO
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?
8 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$8.40
$0.40
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
8 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$8.35
$0.05
- NO
Will Airbnb (ABNB) close at $100-$105 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
8 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$7.73
$0.03
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
7 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
7 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$6.85
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
7 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$6.83
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$7.00Jan 17, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid hit $46 in January?$6.00Jan 17, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?$8.00Nov 19, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb (ABNB) close at $135-$140 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$10.00Nov 19, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb (ABNB) close at $100-$105 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$7.70Nov 19, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$10.00Nov 19, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$5.00Nov 19, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$6.00Nov 19, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$6.80Nov 19, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$8.80Nov 19, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$6.80Nov 19, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$6.50Nov 19, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$8.30Nov 19, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$8.50Nov 19, 10:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $7.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 10:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 08:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".