Shiny-Weird
0x841bf5e8e6453bda0a5d32671ae93ced177c9569
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-289.53
Realised
$-0.33
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
778 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-79.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 61°F or below on April 7?
176 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
168 shares @ 70.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-119.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on April 9?
132 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
121 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-23.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or below on April 11?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or below on April 12?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or higher on April 8?
96 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C or below on April 8?
69 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.68
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 8?$0.00Apr 11, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 8?$0.00Apr 11, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 8?$0.00Apr 11, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 8?$0.00Apr 11, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 8?$0.00Apr 11, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 11?$0.00Apr 11, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on April 7?$0.00Apr 11, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Apr 11, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C or below on April 9?$0.00Apr 11, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on April 7?$0.00Apr 11, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$110.88Apr 11, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$10.81Apr 11, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$5.00Apr 11, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$5.00Apr 11, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$5.00Apr 11, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$10.00Apr 11, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$10.00Apr 11, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$10.00Apr 11, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$10.00Apr 11, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$10.00Apr 11, 12:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $14.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 23:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.