Ignorant-Difficulty
0x841e9627b67ca2e957e8c55b4cf28ec43b93651d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.23
Realised
$-4.62
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$1.50Jul 19, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$9.00Jul 19, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11AM ET$29.02Jul 19, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11AM ET$11.17Jul 19, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11AM ET$9.00Jul 19, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11AM ET$2.50Jul 19, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11AM ET$0.96Jul 19, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$8.70Jul 19, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10AM ET$1.20Jul 19, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11AM ET$0.96Jul 19, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10AM ET$6.20Jul 19, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10AM ET$27.00Jul 19, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9AM ET$2.10Jul 19, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9AM ET$0.46Jul 19, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9AM ET$2.08Jul 19, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9AM ET$6.00Jul 19, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9AM ET$5.00Jul 19, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$25.20Jul 19, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8AM ET$0.20Jul 19, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8AM ET$2.45Jul 19, 11:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 15:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.