Big-Taco
0x84223e7bc5254c916046c371589f10308329a1eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$14.87
Total PnL
$-726.67
Realised
$-31.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 26.6¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$14.87
$4.87
- YES
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?
3888 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
2712 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1818 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
1400 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-181.93
- YES
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?
841 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?
808 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-35.06
- YES
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
614 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-103.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
607 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-79.73
- YES
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
438 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$33.37May 22, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$10.00May 21, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$0.00May 21, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.14May 21, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$10.39May 19, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$10.28May 19, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?$3.00Dec 20, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?$100.00Dec 16, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?$78.42Dec 16, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$20.00Dec 16, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?$20.00Dec 16, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$50.00Dec 14, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Dec 14, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$20.00Dec 14, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?$100.00Dec 14, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?$100.00Dec 14, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$3.47Dec 14, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?$20.00Dec 9, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?$54.87Dec 8, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?$20.00Dec 6, 05:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $75.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 04:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 03:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".