Gracious-Smelting
0x84295f848e7dd2425023118b9767f6cdf6414d32
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$502.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
10358 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-464.92
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?
9423 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-341.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
7612 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-368.97
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
7046 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-47.94
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
3427 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
3091 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-166.98
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?
2500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?
1920 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-709.66
- NO
US-China trade deal before June?
1871 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-318.13
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?
1841 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-192.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?$192.00Feb 3, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?$36.00Feb 3, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?$26.00Feb 3, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?$28.65Feb 3, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?$16.38Feb 3, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?$6.01Feb 3, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?$2.95Feb 3, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?$1.22Feb 3, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?$4.95Feb 3, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?$1.48Feb 3, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?$13.80Feb 3, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) beat quarterly earnings?$43.18Feb 2, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) beat quarterly earnings?$0.47Feb 2, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) beat quarterly earnings?$0.54Feb 2, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?$40.00Feb 2, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?$31.71Feb 2, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Walt Disney Co (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?$3.82Feb 2, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Walt Disney Co (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?$24.03Feb 2, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Walt Disney Co (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?$22.15Feb 2, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?$56.00Feb 2, 11:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $19.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 21:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.