0x8431e0f44eaf6b6e299d18e86d8fd0270e69f439
0x8431e0f44eaf6b6e299d18e86d8fd0270e69f439
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-339.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on May 20?
415 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2025$0.00
$-207.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during tariff event on April 2?
260 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-72.80
- YES
Will Trump say "Trump Reciprocal Trade Act" by April 4?
45 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- CROATIA
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Croatia vs. France
35 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-21.70
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $82000 on April 4?
25 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-19.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 23?
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.30
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on May 23?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Bolivia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.55
- YES
Will Trump say "Mandate" during tariff event on April 2?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 23?$5.00May 22, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMIEM Dallas: GamerLegion vs. FURIA$5.00May 22, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIEM Dallas: GamerLegion vs. FURIA$1.95May 21, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?$1.65May 20, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?$1.65May 20, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on May 20?$160.00May 19, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on May 20?$5.00May 19, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on May 20?$42.50May 19, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump Reciprocal Trade Act" by April 4?$1.80Apr 3, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $82000 on April 4?$19.25Apr 3, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tesla" during tariff event on April 2?$20.00Apr 3, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mandate" during tariff event on April 2?$1.75Apr 2, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tesla" during tariff event on April 2?$15.00Apr 2, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during tariff event on April 2?$72.80Apr 2, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMTrump uses a recess appointment for Cabinet?$90.00Apr 1, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump uses a recess appointment for Cabinet?$89.82Mar 31, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on March 25?$90.00Mar 26, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bolivia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$3.55Mar 25, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on March 25?$45.10Mar 25, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on March 25?$8.20Mar 25, 06:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $31.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 13:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".