Wallet digest

active

Activity score

43/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-1.4K

Realised

$-64.70

Win rate

33%

12 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 76

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-12.54
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
525 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-14.49
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
266 shares @ 66.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-178.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
198 shares @ 57.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-113.95
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
187 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-63.66
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
181 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-19.95
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
164 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-9.99
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
126 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-24.84

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$10.06Mar 27, 14:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$10.00Mar 21, 14:44 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$20.06Mar 21, 14:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$17.69Mar 21, 14:37 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$10.00Mar 21, 14:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.00Mar 21, 14:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$10.00Mar 21, 14:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$35.98Feb 28, 23:07 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$36.22Feb 28, 23:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$19.78Feb 28, 23:01 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$19.80Feb 28, 22:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$14.98Feb 28, 22:55 UTC
TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$14.97Feb 28, 22:42 UTC
TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$4.41Feb 28, 22:30 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$4.31Feb 28, 22:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$3.00Feb 28, 22:29 UTC
TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$15.00Feb 28, 22:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$44.63Feb 18, 16:48 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$45.05Feb 18, 16:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$116.84Feb 18, 16:47 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence40 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry51 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk41 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $22.93
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 18, 03:21 UTC
Last active: Mar 27, 14:49 UTC
Win rate sample: 12 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:11:57 UTC·src:Polymarket Data