Red-Crocodile
0x843c088474aa367cc927f5c6b1dceb8555f38405
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$28.24
Total PnL
$-730.56
Realised
$-135.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
125 shares @ 23.5¢·now 22.6¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$28.24
$-1.10
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?
612 shares @ 62.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-380.44
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
284 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
186 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
173 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-26.26
- UNDER
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5
65 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-32.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
44 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-24.95
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
26 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$30.24Jun 4, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$0.01Jun 4, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$0.07Jun 4, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$30.25Jun 4, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$55.65Jun 4, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$55.59Jun 4, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$68.36Jun 4, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$68.53Jun 4, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$57.54Jun 4, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$65.88Jun 4, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$65.60Jun 4, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$106.65Jun 4, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$106.74Jun 4, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$124.96Jun 3, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$125.24Jun 3, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$20.76Jun 3, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$5.43Jun 3, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$20.44Jun 3, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$160.91Jun 3, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$3.08Jun 3, 12:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $59.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 23:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 02:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".