Reckless-Hatbox
0x843e32a367156a1e1e0193a36a04e41ae1b4d2f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
9471 shares @ 36.3¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.7K
$1.3K
- NO
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
434 shares @ 67.2¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$379.64
$87.94
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
659 shares @ 13.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$108.75
$17.24
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
124 shares @ 50.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$49.13
$-13.06
- NO
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
51 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.17
$0.25
- YES
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
20000 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
17118 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
2131 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-456.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$275.52Jun 3, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$923.86Jun 3, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$10.16Jun 3, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$5.96Jun 3, 02:51 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.33Jun 3, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.49Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$28.53Jun 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$58.73Jun 2, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$14.83Jun 2, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$11.75Jun 2, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$3.52Jun 2, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$236.82Jun 2, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?$47.07Jun 2, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$1.70Jun 2, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$1.70Jun 2, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$1.22Jun 2, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$1.22Jun 2, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$84.50Jun 2, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$1.70Jun 2, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$1.70Jun 2, 09:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $130.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 21:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 06:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".