Animated-Couch
0x8443c50788d05e4d1afe91b9e4c7f4308c18ed73
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will a dozen eggs be below $3.00 in August?
3039 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
2302 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-750.42
- YES
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.00-3.25 in August?
1702 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-108.50
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in August?
429 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$400.42Jan 3, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$350.00Jan 3, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on October 23?$1.00Oct 25, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?$254.59Sep 12, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs be between $3.00-3.25 in August?$8.50Sep 11, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?$125.00Aug 30, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs be below $3.00 in August?$50.00Aug 30, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs be between $3.00-3.25 in August?$100.00Aug 30, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in August?$150.00Aug 30, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Democratic Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?$163.93May 10, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? $97.53Apr 29, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump congratulate Canada election winner by Tuesday?$8.42Apr 29, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?$106.87Apr 29, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?$110.67Apr 29, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Liberal Party win the Yukon seat in the next Canadian Election?$114.56Apr 29, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$131.19Apr 29, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?$129.22Apr 29, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?$153.61Apr 29, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump congratulate Canada election winner by Tuesday?$11.00Apr 28, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMTrump negative approval by Friday?$0.00Apr 21, 13:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $274.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 08:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 17:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.