Cultured-Coconut
0x84449adc1338287bafcceeecf94d943719291cf9
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.5K
Realised
$-40.27
Win rate
47%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?
3866 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-699.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?
3700 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-31.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
3082 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
3005 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7?
2449 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-620.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on June 7?
2025 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 26?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 21?
1625 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?
1623 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?$174.20Jul 30, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?$104.90Jul 29, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 29?$237.84Jul 29, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 29?$52.76Jul 29, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?$94.82Jul 28, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?$104.93Jul 28, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$52.76Jul 28, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$141.18Jul 28, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?$223.67Jul 28, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 20-26?$104.97Jul 21, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?$208.37Jul 21, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$391.72Jul 21, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$207.98Jul 16, 10:06 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.72Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$314.28Jul 14, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$1.4KJul 14, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$521.70Jul 13, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$734.11Jul 10, 05:56 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$23.61Jul 9, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$514.70Jul 8, 15:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $190.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 21:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 13:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.