Granular-Controller
0x844810b8e3bbf906d483fd6d3f299410bcabfe2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$62.00
Total PnL
$-220.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
54 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$54.35
$4.35
- NO
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by March 31?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.10
$1.10
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.45
$-3.55
- YES
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
13 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.10
$-0.89
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
345 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
74 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
70 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
64 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$50.00Feb 27, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$50.00Feb 27, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$50.00Feb 27, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$50.00Feb 27, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$6.33Feb 26, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$6.94Feb 26, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Serhiivka by March 31?$5.00Feb 9, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular sentenced to prison?$5.00Feb 9, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$5.00Feb 9, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$6.39Feb 9, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$8.47Feb 9, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$10.87Feb 9, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$5.00Feb 1, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$10.00Jan 21, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$5.00Jan 21, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSeeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?$0.17Jan 21, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$118.70Jan 21, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$5.00Jan 19, 08:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $14.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 07:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 15:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".