Tired-Fireplace
0x84484ca1dbdc1ad2b72c9f55b29d0fa14b4379bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$6.6K
Total PnL
$-318.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 49.9¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$-139.15
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
7000 shares @ 22.7¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-185.99
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1292 shares @ 29.5¢·now 30.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$388.16
$7.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.48May 18, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.48May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.48May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.48May 18, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$10.87May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.42May 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.46May 18, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.46May 18, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.46May 18, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$129.96May 18, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$14.78May 18, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$7.05May 17, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$1.25May 17, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$2.6KMay 17, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$4.42May 17, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.95May 17, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.93May 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$5.01May 17, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$159.00May 17, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$59.00May 17, 17:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $189.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 19:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".