Some-Waiver
0x844954287ff9df1337b9a66be101af73fc491258
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$19.36
Total PnL
$-90.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.04
$0.76
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?
2 shares @ 91.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$2.49
$0.22
- NO
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$2.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2 shares @ 93.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.26
$0.14
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.11
$0.11
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
2 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.84
$0.05
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.30
$0.03
- YES
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Joe Biden arrested by December 31?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
87 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-38.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?$2.27Oct 25, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMRaiders vs. Chiefs$2.27Oct 25, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$1.79Oct 19, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.12Oct 19, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaiders vs. Chiefs$2.00Oct 19, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?$2.00Oct 19, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Twente '65 win on 2025-10-05?$1.28Oct 19, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Hornets$1.41Oct 19, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on October 5?$1.55Oct 19, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $126k in October?$3.66Oct 19, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$1.30Oct 5, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$1.20Oct 5, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$1.50Oct 5, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$2.00Oct 5, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$5.00Oct 5, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYJoe Biden arrested by December 31?$1.00Oct 5, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYX relaunches Vine in 2025?$1.00Oct 5, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$2.00Oct 5, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.27Oct 5, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Hornets$1.00Oct 5, 10:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 10:20 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 06:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.