Creamy-Conservation
0x84538ed3e25b486029d4b494b6e246b6e416b136
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.78
Total PnL
$-0.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- WALZ
Who will speak more at VP Debate?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2024$2.78
$1.78
- NO
Will JD Vance say "Kamala Harris" 30 or more times during the debate?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Tim Walz say "VC" or "Venture Capitalist" during the debate?
1 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWho will speak more at VP Debate?$1.00Oct 2, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz say "VC" or "Venture Capitalist" during the debate?$0.59Oct 2, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Kamala Harris" 30 or more times during the debate?$2.00Oct 1, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMKamala positive favorability by Friday?$0.00Oct 1, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMCops who arrested Tyreek Hill fired?$0.00Oct 1, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMJordan Love placed on IR?$0.00Oct 1, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMKamala x Trump debate most viewed ever?$0.00Sep 13, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala positive favorability by Friday?$3.00Sep 11, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala say "I'm speaking" at debate?$0.00Sep 11, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMDebate Bingo - Card 1$0.00Sep 11, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?$0.00Sep 11, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala say "wall" at debate?$0.00Sep 11, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Debate finish by 10:30 PM?$0.00Sep 11, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala say "JD" or "Vance" at debate?$3.13Sep 11, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala and Trump both say "democracy" at debate?$3.33Sep 11, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMTrump and Harris shake hands at first debate?$10.00Sep 11, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Debate finish by 10:30 PM?$2.00Sep 11, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDebate Bingo - Card 1$2.14Sep 10, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala x Trump debate most viewed ever?$3.00Sep 10, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCops who arrested Tyreek Hill fired?$3.00Sep 10, 23:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 22:50 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 2, 00:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".