Quirky-Sunglasses
0x845b8eafe8ce3957818b67edb5d840e634531102
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$60.31
Total PnL
$-0.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Armenia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
13 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$13.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Czechia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
11 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$11.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" ≤ 40 times during March Madness?
6 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$6.07
$0.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11AM ET
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$4.10
$2.13
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.31
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.09Mar 29, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 29, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sunday" this week? (April 5)$1.00Mar 29, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Embargo" this week? (March 29)$1.00Mar 29, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11AM ET$2.00Mar 29, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?$11.13Mar 29, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?$11.31Mar 29, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$26.89Mar 29, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Armenia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$13.00Mar 29, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$11.00Mar 29, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$10.00Mar 29, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" ≤ 40 times during March Madness?$6.00Mar 29, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$922.26Mar 22, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$188.72Mar 22, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 81+ times during March Madness?$1.00Mar 21, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.00Mar 21, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.00Mar 21, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.00Mar 21, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.00Mar 21, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.1KMar 21, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $80.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 24, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 15:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.