Jaded-Exhaust
0x845e8381ec802dc1a26a6a640ab0df144bdf6b59
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$26.58
Total PnL
$-185.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
27 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$26.58
$6.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 18?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?
120 shares @ 83.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?
68 shares @ 58.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on April 16?
60 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?
46 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?
32 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17?
22 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 18?$1.00Apr 18, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?$5.00Apr 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17?$3.00Apr 17, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 16?$1.00Apr 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 16?$1.00Apr 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 16?$1.00Apr 16, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 16?$4.10Apr 16, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 16?$1.50Apr 16, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?$1.00Apr 16, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?$1.00Apr 16, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 16?$0.00Apr 16, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on April 16?$1.00Apr 16, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 16?$3.00Apr 16, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 16?$1.00Apr 16, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 16?$14.88Apr 16, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 16?$10.00Apr 16, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 15?$13.45Apr 16, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 15?$12.00Apr 15, 13:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $9.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 10:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.