Short-Term-Deliberation
0x845f956dd6063f6e307a0faedfc4c08bd20a2a2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$11.03
Total PnL
$-7.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
2 shares @ 94.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.12
$0.12
- YES
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Christian McCaffrey be the Top Fantasy Running Back for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 30.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.51
$-0.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?$1.00Jan 1, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.00Jan 1, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 1, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Seacrest say "Resolution" 3+ times on New Year's Rockin' Eve?$1.00Jan 1, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ka'imi Fairbairn be the Top Fantasy Kicker of the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?$1.00Jan 1, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?$1.00Jan 1, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 1, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$2.17Jan 1, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$3.20Jan 1, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$5.73Jan 1, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.01Jan 1, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?$1.04Jan 1, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?$1.08Jan 1, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$1.08Jan 1, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.10Jan 1, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$2.09Jan 1, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.15Jan 1, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Dec 30, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian McCaffrey be the Top Fantasy Running Back for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?$1.00Dec 30, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$1.00Dec 30, 17:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 01:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 12:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".