Hurtful-Meatball
0x845fa073df1075a5439ba0fa72c33f3d42602090
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$8.29
Total PnL
$-24.50
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.10
$0.02
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.23
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on January 20?
4151 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 24?
1085 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on February 12?
1081 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 20?
1079 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 22?
1073 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 17?
1067 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on February 5?
1067 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.04Jun 4, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by June 30?$5.08May 21, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.03May 13, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$2.24May 5, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$5.15May 4, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.17May 4, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.17Apr 22, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$5.07Apr 10, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 22?$2.15Mar 22, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 12?$2.11Mar 12, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 1?$2.12Mar 1, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 24?$2.17Feb 24, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 20?$2.16Feb 20, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 17?$3.20Feb 17, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.01Feb 12, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on February 12?$3.24Feb 12, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on February 5?$2.13Feb 5, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$1.00Feb 2, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Feb 2, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$1.01Feb 2, 02:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $160.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 00:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 07:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".