Ancient-Panda
0x846b75fe8d5364be054c9e5c4c85791b5f9ddd84
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-124.09
Realised
$-1.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
1811 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.61
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?
1525 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC in January?
1204 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
668 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC in January?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 16?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?
164 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?
160 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 16?
155 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$10.41May 16, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$20.82May 16, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$54.86May 16, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$1.04May 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?$10.28May 15, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?$1.05May 15, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 16?$5.16May 15, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 16?$1.05May 15, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 16?$1.05May 15, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$5.22May 15, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?$5.24May 15, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?$13.16May 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?$15.42May 15, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?$10.42May 15, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$5.00May 12, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$10.00May 12, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$21.61Jan 31, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC in January?$1.00Jan 27, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$0.17Jan 27, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 9-11 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?$0.14Jan 27, 07:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $10.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 08:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".