Mad-Lava
0x846f8a0ef7fff4e6dda5797fa85fef579170834d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$49.79
Total PnL
$-28.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 30?
30 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$29.79
$1.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 30?
20 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
31 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?
24 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 30?$18.09Apr 30, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 30?$28.08Apr 30, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 11?$5.07Apr 30, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 11?$8.02Apr 30, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $140 in March?$8.07Apr 30, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $160 in March?$12.04Apr 30, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $150 in March?$13.04Apr 30, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $140 in March?$8.00Mar 11, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $150 in March?$13.00Mar 11, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 in March?$12.00Mar 11, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 11?$5.00Mar 11, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 11?$8.00Mar 11, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on February 14?$6.38Mar 11, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$29.77Mar 11, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$29.00Feb 14, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 14?$6.00Feb 14, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?$14.00Feb 14, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$13.39Feb 14, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$15.14Feb 14, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$26.69Feb 14, 11:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $13.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 08:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 14:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.