Wary-Treasure
0x846f9f3b77d20ced843d6a4c65a9f374828a9511
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-43.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will José Luiz Datena win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
152 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Massachusetts US Senate Election?
149 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?
137 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?
132 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Governor Election?
111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $35-40b one day after launch?
107 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- FLYERS
Red Wings vs. Flyers
83 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-42.13
- YES
Will RFK Jr. win >7% of the popular vote?
61 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Washington Presidential Election?
43 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Raj Rao announced as next BlackRock CEO?
20 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRed Wings vs. Flyers$42.13Apr 2, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?$0.14Nov 5, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win North Carolina Governor Election?$0.11Nov 3, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Washington Presidential Election?$0.13Oct 23, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?$0.13Oct 18, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaj Rao announced as next BlackRock CEO?$0.00Oct 9, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaj Rao announced as next BlackRock CEO?$0.01Oct 9, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaj Rao announced as next BlackRock CEO?$0.00Oct 9, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Massachusetts US Senate Election?$0.15Oct 8, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win >7% of the popular vote?$0.12Oct 2, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luiz Datena win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$0.15Sep 27, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $35-40b one day after launch?$0.05Sep 23, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $35-40b one day after launch?$0.06Sep 23, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaj Rao announced as next BlackRock CEO?$0.01Sep 21, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaj Rao announced as next BlackRock CEO?$0.01Sep 21, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaj Rao announced as next BlackRock CEO?$0.01Sep 21, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaj Rao announced as next BlackRock CEO?$0.01Sep 21, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.03Sep 14, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another candidate be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.04Sep 14, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.06Sep 14, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $16.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 19:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 11:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".