Half-List
0x847df7c58f472323502e42de3e93e4f0c9e5b2b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-151.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?
382 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
36 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 1?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?
29 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $190 and $200 on October 30?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$14.71Dec 11, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$5.12Dec 3, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$5.44Nov 16, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be above $160 on November 12?$1.11Nov 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on November 11?$1.00Nov 11, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 11?$5.00Nov 11, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $160 on November 12?$5.00Nov 11, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 10?$6.67Nov 11, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$5.00Nov 11, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 11?$10.00Nov 11, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$0.33Nov 11, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$5.00Nov 11, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$5.41Nov 10, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$5.00Nov 10, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 10?$5.00Nov 10, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 10?$5.00Nov 9, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$1.00Nov 9, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$5.00Nov 9, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 6?$5.00Nov 6, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 6?$5.00Nov 6, 00:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 02:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".