Improbable-Dirt
0x8484a05540a0ac6b49d2c16cbb2fb9eb3aba6cd8
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
9500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
9400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.7K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-7.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
14 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill knots flip bitcoin core by December 31?$1.03Dec 15, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.02Dec 15, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$1.04Dec 15, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.31Dec 15, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 25-December 1?$2.13Dec 15, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$2.48Dec 15, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.02Dec 3, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 25-December 1?$1.02Nov 26, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 25-December 1?$1.02Nov 26, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.30Nov 21, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.23Nov 13, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.23Nov 13, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill knots flip bitcoin core by December 31?$1.03Oct 29, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$19.0KOct 13, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$7.50Oct 13, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$9.5KOct 13, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$9.9KOct 13, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$2.50Oct 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$4.9KOct 13, 10:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 03:12 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 07:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".