Compassionate-Smog
0x8489a6516b550e1098d5f7a4efdbcf5bb436208d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-40.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
54770 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
44548 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.2K
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
39763 shares @ 43.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-17.1K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?
35146 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
34845 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?
29989 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.5K
- NO
Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?
29401 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?
20520 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-246.08
- YES
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?
15851 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2025$0.00
$-514.94
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?
9157 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.5K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.2 in July?$0.00Jul 17, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.2 in July?$8.4KJul 17, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.0 in July?$1.5KJul 12, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140K in July?$999.47Jul 12, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.2 in July?$2.5KJul 12, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in July?$268.24Jul 11, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.0 in July?$200.00Jul 11, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.2 in July?$500.00Jul 11, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140K in July?$500.00Jul 11, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125K in July?$1.5KJul 11, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200K in July?$103.88Jul 11, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140K in July?$400.00Jul 11, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.0 in July?$500.00Jul 11, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125K in July?$1000.00Jul 11, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200K in July?$142.21Jul 11, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.0 in July?$350.00Jul 11, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125K in July?$1000.00Jul 11, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in July?$500.00Jul 11, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in July?$498.00Jul 11, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140K in July?$500.00Jul 11, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 18:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".