Animated-Centurion
0x848e9872aa9c0dc64497ed8beabcc25d3a5933a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$7.25
Total PnL
$-27.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 42.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.64
$-1.36
- NO
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 59.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.61
$-1.39
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
1443 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
1303 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?
698 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
241 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$5.00Apr 20, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$5.05Apr 13, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$5.00Apr 6, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$5.01Mar 30, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$5.00Mar 30, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?$5.01Mar 23, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?$5.00Mar 23, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?$5.00Mar 23, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?$5.00Mar 23, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$5.06Mar 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$5.00Mar 16, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$5.00Mar 16, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$5.00Mar 16, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$0.00Mar 14, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$0.00Mar 14, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$5.00Mar 11, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$5.75Mar 11, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$10.01Mar 11, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$5.00Mar 9, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$5.00Mar 8, 04:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 04:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".