Whole-Set
0x8493ca0e4cee5dbca4195877d7a4143945661134
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$270.97
Total PnL
$-0.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
64 shares @ 98.7¢·now 97.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.46
$-0.70
- NO
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?
57 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$56.06
$0.26
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
54 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$52.73
$0.08
- NO
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 94.8¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.27
$0.03
- NO
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?
51 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$49.44
$0.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?$44.51May 17, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.24May 17, 06:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?$55.80May 14, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$63.17May 14, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$50.64May 14, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$52.65May 14, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?$23.18May 14, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?$26.91May 14, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?$49.42May 12, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$50.59May 12, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$51.00May 9, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?$11.96May 8, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?$32.67May 8, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?$11.79May 8, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?$10.00May 7, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?$17.45May 7, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $32.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 12:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".