Improbable-Muffin-Bronchitis
0x84956098a279f4beaf85696f461e60d75241b6e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$20.9K
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$2.4K
Win rate
45%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
21758 shares @ 46.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.3K
$334.90
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
13780 shares @ 47.2¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.4K
$-1.1K
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
20252 shares @ 28.6¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.5K
$-3.3K
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
18172 shares @ 19.3¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$-2.0K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
6857 shares @ 43.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$-1.9K
- OPENAI
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.63
$0.65
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1 shares @ 92.8¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$0.08Jun 13, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$0.12Jun 13, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$300.00Jun 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?$2.41Jun 13, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?$1.51Jun 13, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?$6.03Jun 13, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?$3.01Jun 13, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?$135.35Jun 13, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 3, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$0.02Jun 3, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$0.05Jun 3, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$0.16Jun 3, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$500.00Jun 3, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$0.01Jun 3, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$0.04Jun 3, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$0.74Jun 3, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 3, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$500.00Jun 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 23:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $79.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.