Excited-Pollution
0x84abbf64fe15715435460f7e29abe287f82aca37
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$400.00
Total PnL
$-248.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
300 shares @ 86.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$300.00
$41.70
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$100.00
$10.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
200 shares @ 70.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-140.40
- YES
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2024$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-75.00
- NO
OpenAI social app in 2025?
100 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpenAI social app in 2025?$1.37Aug 19, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI social app in 2025?$2.55Aug 19, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI social app in 2025?$52.08Aug 19, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$217.39Aug 19, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$258.30Aug 19, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$90.00Feb 21, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$20.00Jan 23, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$200.00Jan 23, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMMeissner effect confirmed near room temperature?$0.00Jan 23, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $0.00Jan 23, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$50.00Jan 23, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMJoe Biden impeached before 2024 election?$63.29Jan 23, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMCOVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?$100.00Jan 23, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMTrump in jail before election day?$106.38Jan 23, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2024?$200.00Jan 23, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?$200.00Jan 23, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMSundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?$200.00Jan 23, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5 not announced in 2024?$250.00Jan 23, 19:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.23Sep 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Harris shake hands at first debate?$75.00Sep 10, 19:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $62.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 07:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 19:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".