Alarming-Subtitle
0x84ad49e1a081557695613595070b52ca453524e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-560.54
Realised
$-1.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 15+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?
204 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
160 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Hell" during signing time?
154 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
129 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- KINGS
Blackhawks vs. Kings
105 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-68.00
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
98 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
98 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?$37.67Apr 1, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$30.30Mar 15, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$50.00Mar 5, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$40.00Mar 5, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$176.51Mar 5, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$100.00Mar 2, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$10.00Mar 2, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?$1.00Mar 2, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$40.00Mar 2, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$14.29Feb 28, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$88.24Feb 28, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Golden Dome" this week? (February 15)$26.53Feb 16, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Philadelphia" or "Baltimore" this week? (February 15)$50.00Feb 16, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?$30.00Feb 15, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?$30.00Feb 15, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?$10.00Feb 14, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?$20.00Feb 14, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Epstein" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)$10.00Feb 14, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$0.00Feb 14, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Big Beautiful Bill" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?$26.58Feb 14, 00:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $38.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 02:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 03:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".