Demanding-Vintage
0x84afde4709bea2c9494316b1adbb6fcb5f0eddb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$8.96
Total PnL
$-9.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 6.9¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.61
$1.47
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 15.8¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.35
$0.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
5700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.9K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
3620 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
2700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
2520 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
1840 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-920.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
1820 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-910.00
- NO
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
805 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-386.38
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.32Mar 30, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.14Mar 30, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on February 6?$1.01Mar 30, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$1.01Mar 30, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.03Mar 30, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on February 6?$1.00Feb 6, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$1.00Feb 6, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.02Feb 6, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.02Feb 6, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.03Feb 6, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.06Feb 6, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?$1.08Feb 6, 03:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $70.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 03:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".