Honored-Plowman
0x84b44cca5e401cbbb9a1587d72ad8cba0bd1e38e
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$22.80
Total PnL
$-3.50
Realised
$-0.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?
12 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.63
$0.63
- NO
Will Monster Hunter Wilds win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$6.94
$0.01
- NO
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Rachel Zegler be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.40
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Monster Hunter Wilds win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$329.34Nov 5, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition$1.00Nov 4, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?$11.00Nov 4, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monster Hunter Wilds win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$336.60Nov 4, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$4.00Nov 4, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rachel Zegler be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?$343.05Nov 4, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rachel Zegler be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?$345.10Nov 4, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?$2.06Nov 4, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$1.28Nov 4, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?$1.02Nov 4, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill The New York Times update its privacy policy before July?$2.02Nov 4, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$1.00Jun 15, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The New York Times update its privacy policy before July?$2.00Jun 15, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$1.00Jun 15, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?$1.00Jun 15, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US sanction Russia before May?$0.00Jun 15, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMX allowed to operate in China before May?$1.03Jun 15, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek banned in US before April?$1.06Jun 15, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEM500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?$2.35Jun 15, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?$2.00Mar 10, 04:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $39.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 12:34 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".