Agreeable-Birth
0x84c386331355f47057afca0c06c7211f4dbe35d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$8.2K
Total PnL
$-492.54
Realised
$-236.93
Win rate
60%
78 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?
291 shares @ 86.9¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$257.38
$4.77
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
455 shares @ 44.2¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$220.72
$19.52
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
218 shares @ 82.9¢·now 85.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$186.70
$5.93
- YES
Türkiye leading at halftime?
424 shares @ 39.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$171.72
$6.36
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
155 shares @ 92.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$143.38
$0.28
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
143 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$133.46
$-0.61
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
129 shares @ 93.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$127.65
$7.22
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
129 shares @ 90.1¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$126.68
$10.13
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
136 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$112.20
$-0.72
- NO
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
118 shares @ 94.6¢·now 93.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$110.15
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$4.30Jun 13, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$4.80Jun 13, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 15?$9.88Jun 13, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$9.12Jun 13, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$2.58Jun 13, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$7.31Jun 13, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$1.26Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$7.41Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1.95Jun 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$2.34Jun 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$5.85Jun 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.61Jun 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$3.05Jun 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$3.05Jun 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1.95Jun 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$3.65Jun 13, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$14.60Jun 13, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMakerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?$6.39Jun 13, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$8.03Jun 13, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$10.22Jun 13, 22:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 17:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 23:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 78 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.