Agreeable-Birth
0x84c386331355f47057afca0c06c7211f4dbe35d4
Quality score
83/100
Open positions
136
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-440.71
Realised
$40.38
Win rate
50%
60 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 136- NO
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
396 shares @ 92.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$361.90
$-3.06
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
650 shares @ 69.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$341.30
$-107.59
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
218 shares @ 82.9¢·now 82.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$178.64
$-2.13
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
167 shares @ 82.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$159.25
$21.45
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
385 shares @ 30.1¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$140.35
$24.64
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
171 shares @ 70.2¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.14
$-2.97
- NO
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
125 shares @ 90.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$116.25
$3.10
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
131 shares @ 66.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$113.08
$26.33
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 27.5¢·now 8.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$85.02
$-190.18
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
99 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$82.79
$-1.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$1.326m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.5543m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$0.1043m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$0.4543m ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$43.712h ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$34.622h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?$6.302h ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.042h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.082h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.342h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.692h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.572h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$4.353h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$4.923h ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$0.194h ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$0.244h ago
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$10.664h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.194h ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$0.295h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9h ago
- Last active
- 6m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.