Shimmering-Smolt
0x84c56f974f6c9eb5929da296248f8c583864abf3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?
660 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.32
- YES
Will xAI have the second best AI model on September 30?
593 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
562 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.02
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on November 12?
526 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4200 July 28–August 3?
520 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of March?
423 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.70
- YES
Will the Movement Together win the most seats in the next Albanian election?
402 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Maverick McNealy win the 2025 BMW Championship?
210 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$7.02Mar 27, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of March?$3.70Mar 24, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $130 on November 12?$2.30Nov 11, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands win on 2025-10-09?$100.10Nov 3, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Josh Gottheimer win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?$120.00Nov 3, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$140.00Nov 3, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $100 in May?$210.10Nov 3, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?$68.74Nov 1, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?$68.88Nov 1, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2025-10-09?$95.80Oct 9, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second best AI model on September 30?$5.50Sep 27, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maverick McNealy win the 2025 BMW Championship?$4.18Aug 12, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$79.84Aug 10, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$79.84Aug 9, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4200 July 28–August 3?$2.60Aug 1, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$1.05Jul 23, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Mesa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$69.86Jul 22, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Mesa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$69.86Jul 22, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?$69.72Jul 17, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?$69.72Jul 11, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $118.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 18:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 16:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.