0x84c825c5b174d45d7daf0fc405f252c804fe3ee8
0x84c825c5b174d45d7daf0fc405f252c804fe3ee8
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$73.01
Total PnL
$-134.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
760 shares @ 4.5¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.70
$-9.83
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
982 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1875 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
111 shares @ 1.2¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.40
$4.01
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
532 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.52
$-5.48
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 6% or more?
15 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.73
$-0.07
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 6% or more?$1.94May 19, 03:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 15, 16:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25May 11, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.24May 11, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$2.50May 11, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$3.45May 11, 17:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.20May 10, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.34May 10, 10:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25May 8, 18:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $3.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 03:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".