Second-Chalice
0x84c926ec5dfee4a4b31e98f4bbfe420b82e38397
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$10.24
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
161 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-53.13
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
104 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-54.89
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
87 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-31.21
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
82 shares @ 60.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
81 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
77 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-28.49
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
74 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.71
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
72 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-26.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
69 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-42.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
67 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-49.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$36.47Jul 29, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$23.81Jul 29, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$23.78Jul 29, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$19.95Jul 29, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$44.40Jul 28, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$2.85Jul 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$6.56Jul 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$13.50Jul 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$2.65Jul 28, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$26.11Jul 28, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$3.57Jul 28, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$15.60Jul 28, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$0.41Jul 28, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$9.45Jul 28, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.93Jul 28, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$3.15Jul 28, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$29.99Jul 27, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$21.06Jul 27, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$21.01Jul 27, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$19.73Jul 27, 21:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 00:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.