Muted-Danger
0x84cc7600bd9598316e4e6379298c2af52e96f9b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$23.04
Total PnL
$2.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
2 shares @ 80.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.50
$0.50
- YES
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
1 shares @ 68.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Verona be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 76.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.30
$0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?$1.00Feb 6, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$1.00Jan 28, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$1.00Jan 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erin Stewart win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Jan 5, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Dec 25, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 18, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Dec 10, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.00Nov 27, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$1.00Nov 20, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Nov 13, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?$1.00Nov 6, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Oct 30, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$1.00Oct 23, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$1.00Oct 16, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?$1.23Oct 9, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vienna host Eurovision 2026?$1.25Oct 9, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malmo FF win on 2025-08-21?$1.59Oct 9, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Verona be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?$1.00Oct 9, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?$1.00Sep 24, 11:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 10:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 06:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.