0x84ce787478365f238e0e384231b1ea85e04dac3c
0x84ce787478365f238e0e384231b1ea85e04dac3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$8.63
Total PnL
$-18.83
Realised
$-4.15
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$5.17
$3.67
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.69
$0.29
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.26
$0.06
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
248 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.07
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
67 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.06
- NO
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
38 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
16 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.51Jan 10, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.00Dec 30, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.00Dec 30, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$0.33Dec 19, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$0.40Dec 19, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.05Dec 10, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Dec 10, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$0.51Dec 9, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.08Dec 6, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta have the top AI model on December 31?$0.48Dec 6, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$1.56Dec 5, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?$1.23Dec 1, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 22, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 22, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?$1.20Nov 22, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$1.12Nov 22, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$1.12Nov 21, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?$1.20Nov 20, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?$1.20Nov 20, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?$1.50Nov 20, 12:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 18:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".