Wallet profile

Agitated-Bricklaying

0x84cfffc3f16dcc353094de30d4a45226eccd2f63

activity 96/100

Wallet digest

whale

Activity score

96/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

138

Open notional

$371.5K

Total PnL

$-17.0K

Realised

$5.0K

Win rate

72%

60 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 138

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$2.7M

Trades

31

Buy share

78%

Window

May 16, 19:50 UTC → Jul 16, 18:58 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $33.7K

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

74/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

PnL is mostly mark-to-market

Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

72% win rate over 60 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

29/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

45 live trades, 169 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.

Resolved-only track record
pass

60 closed markets, 72% win rate.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$113.5K

13 trades

Buy share

78%

Sample

established

169 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score

$319.0K · 12% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score12% of recorded volume$319.0KSpurs vs. Thunder11% of recorded volume$305.6KWill United States win on 2026-06-19?4% of recorded volume$99.2K

Profile dimensions

Activity72 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry29 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk42 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
45
Avg trade size
$85.31
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 24, 03:52 UTC
Last active
Jul 24, 04:34 UTC
Win rate sample
60 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on PolymarketView on Polygonscan
updated 04:35:15 UTC·src:Polymarket Data