Pale-Birdwatcher
0x84d7b7a1d571534fbad757dfafdf9e604726298f
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
164
Open notional
$7.0K
Total PnL
$1.8K
Realised
$2.2K
Win rate
68%
84 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 164- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1670 shares @ 16.4¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$375.74
$101.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1222 shares @ 23.4¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$329.97
$44.20
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
481 shares @ 57.6¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$319.82
$43.03
- NO
Will Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
324 shares @ 46.9¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$300.92
$148.59
- YES
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
610 shares @ 29.3¢·now 48.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$295.70
$116.74
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?
300 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$294.84
$0.68
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
1749 shares @ 12.4¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$288.65
$71.22
- YES
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?
290 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$277.08
$4.25
- YES
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
1242 shares @ 21.7¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$254.53
$-14.63
- NO
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
435 shares @ 58.6¢·now 57.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$250.00
$-4.79
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Rockets (-8.5)$0.0013s ago
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets$0.0013s ago
- REDEEMSpread: Rockets (-9.5)$0.3613s ago
- REDEEMSpread: Rockets (-10.5)$0.2513s ago
- REDEEMSpread: Rockets (-5.5)$0.5913s ago
- REDEEMSpread: Rockets (-8.5)$229.2313s ago
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets$300.1213s ago
- REDEEMLuke Kennard: Points O/U 14.5$508.8913s ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 25?$15.307m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 26?$11.9220m ago
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5$0.0030m ago
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5$0.0030m ago
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5$18.3230m ago
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5$300.3230m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 26?$80.8441m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on April 26?$0.7342m ago
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$14.001h ago
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$14.001h ago
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?$0.861h ago
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$10.921h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $7.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2h ago
- Last active
- 13s ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.