Orange-Adjective
0x84dc62aa7c09b491a96b349236f603e75f680d3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$53.39
Total PnL
$7.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
21 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$20.51
$12.51
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 59.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$20.38
$8.27
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
13 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$12.50
$9.50
- YES
Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
231 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?
117 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
U.S. Recession in 2024?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?
41 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?$0.00Nov 6, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMTrump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?$0.00Oct 23, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMTrump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?$0.00Oct 23, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Florida by 8+ points?$8.00Oct 9, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by September 18?$0.00Oct 9, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?$0.00Oct 9, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?$0.00Oct 9, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by September 18?$0.00Oct 9, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMKamala or Trump convention speech gets more viewers?$0.00Aug 24, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala or Trump convention speech gets more viewers?$3.74Aug 23, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Unburdened" during DNC speech?$0.00Aug 23, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMTrump posts 10-19 times on X?$0.00Aug 23, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Inflation" during DNC speech?$11.74Aug 23, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Inflation" during DNC speech?$3.99Aug 22, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Unburdened" during DNC speech?$3.00Aug 22, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Recession in 2024?$10.00Aug 21, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump posts 10-19 times on X?$3.00Aug 19, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?$1.00Aug 19, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Gag" at his rally?$0.00Aug 19, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gag" at his rally?$3.19Aug 17, 04:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 02:53 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.