Intelligent-Nightmare
0x84dd5bcffa548e50965633c77d13b5016bbbe4ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$14.00
Total PnL
$-5.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
13 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
6 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the January meeting?$2.04Mar 6, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$2.11Mar 6, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$2.31Mar 6, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?$2.00Mar 6, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$2.00Jan 25, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$12.00Jan 25, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$2.00Jan 25, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.00Jan 25, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the January meeting?$2.00Jan 25, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$1.48Jan 25, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.02Jan 25, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$10.99Jan 25, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$1.00Dec 14, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.00Dec 14, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?$2.26Dec 14, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$2.13Dec 14, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$7.16Dec 14, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$7.15Nov 23, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$2.00Nov 23, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in October?$1.01Nov 23, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 06:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 09:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.