Warlike-Wisdom
0x84e03b625bb14bfe92604ef20b18709c492023c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-316.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $112K on July 16?
358 shares @ 55.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $111K on July 11?
141 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-99.97
- YES
Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?
19 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
XRP above $2.70 on July 18?
17 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.90
- NO
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?
6 shares @ 64.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.79
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?$3.79Aug 11, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 365–379 times August 8–August 15?$0.37Aug 11, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 350–364 times August 8–August 15?$0.34Aug 11, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 410–424 times August 8–August 15?$0.68Aug 11, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 380–394 times August 8–August 15?$0.91Aug 11, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 395–409 times August 8–August 15?$1.16Aug 11, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 410–424 times August 8–August 15?$1.00Aug 11, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 395–409 times August 8–August 15?$1.00Aug 11, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 380–394 times August 8–August 15?$1.00Aug 11, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 380–394 times August 8–August 15?$1.00Aug 11, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 350–364 times August 8–August 15?$1.00Aug 11, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 395–409 times August 8–August 15?$1.00Aug 11, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 365–379 times August 8–August 15?$1.00Aug 11, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 320–334 times August 8–August 15?$7.28Aug 11, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 320–334 times August 8–August 15?$7.20Aug 10, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 215 times August 8–August 15?$5.48Aug 10, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 365–379 times August 8–August 15?$1.11Aug 9, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 215 times August 8–August 15?$0.65Aug 8, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 215 times August 8–August 15?$4.80Aug 8, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 215 times August 8–August 15?$1.00Aug 8, 16:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 21:50 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 17:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.