Noxious-Hardboard
0x84e2a87ed559897af1e68a3669e83d65cbd738c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$19.09
Total PnL
$-15.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$1.40
- YES
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$9.09
$8.09
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?
28 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Solana above $190 on December 27?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
7 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?$8.60Jan 3, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$5.00Jan 3, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$3.00Jan 3, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$2.00Jan 3, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$1.00Jan 3, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$25.23Jan 3, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Suns$2.81Jan 3, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?$1.00Dec 22, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$25.00Dec 21, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $190 on December 27?$5.00Dec 21, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June? $1.00Dec 21, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?$1.50Dec 21, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Suns$0.90Dec 21, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSMU vs. Penn State$0.20Dec 21, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?$3.00Dec 21, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?$0.90Dec 21, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea before April?$2.00Dec 21, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$1.00Dec 21, 14:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $3.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 04:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.