Favorite-Sponge
0x84e6ef7a4cef04ef3ce5840fa795cc556cdde0cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$8.87
Total PnL
$-9.97
Realised
$1.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.87
$0.01
- YES
Will Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?
182 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.02
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
19 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?$8.86Oct 2, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on September 24?$15.00Oct 2, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on September 24?$4.10Sep 23, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on September 24?$8.20Sep 23, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?$0.60Sep 23, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?$2.00Sep 23, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?$10.02Sep 23, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?$6.11Sep 23, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?$3.00Sep 23, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?$8.07Sep 23, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?$2.50Sep 22, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 17, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia win Eurovision 2025?$7.99Jun 27, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?$11.85Jun 27, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win Eurovision 2025?$7.96Mar 15, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?$11.84Feb 15, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLCrystal Palace wins the Premier League?$27.14Jan 16, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrystal Palace wins the Premier League?$27.18Jan 8, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?$0.00Jan 3, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high in 2024?$17.71Jan 3, 05:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $291.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 2, 08:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.