Thick-Randomization
0x84f47f82a49985b2dd0e8b9733b0fb170ba0f33a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$28.67
Total PnL
$0.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2024$16.67
$14.67
- NO
$POPCAT listed on Binance or Coinbase in 2024?
12 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$12.00
$9.00
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?
23 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will 'Wicked' gross less than $95m opening weekend?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 'Wicked' gross between $115-125m opening weekend?
9 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will inflation increase by 2.5% or less in November?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill inflation increase by 2.5% or less in November?$1.00Nov 15, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked' gross between $115-125m opening weekend?$2.00Nov 15, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend?$2.00Nov 15, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked' gross less than $95m opening weekend?$1.00Nov 15, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY$POPCAT listed on Binance or Coinbase in 2024?$3.00Nov 15, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?$5.00Nov 15, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?$0.50Nov 15, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$2.00Nov 15, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?$2.00Nov 15, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$10.00Nov 15, 09:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $2.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 09:00 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 15, 09:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".